Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office outlooks indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 26 will likely reach 25–26°C under sunny intervals and light southerly flow, supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover, daytime heating rates, and urban heat-island effects at the London City Airport resolution station, with ensemble spreads showing limited potential for 27°C if ridging strengthens or for 24°C if marine air intrudes earlier. Recent warming trends through August 25 have kept probabilities balanced, while any late-model shifts in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could quickly tilt sentiment ahead of the final readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 26?
25°C 29%
26°C 28%
27°C 16%
24°C 13%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
26°C 28%
27°C 16%
24°C 13%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Met Office outlooks indicate London’s maximum temperature on August 26 will likely reach 25–26°C under sunny intervals and light southerly flow, supporting the near-even market-implied odds on those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover, daytime heating rates, and urban heat-island effects at the London City Airport resolution station, with ensemble spreads showing limited potential for 27°C if ridging strengthens or for 24°C if marine air intrudes earlier. Recent warming trends through August 25 have kept probabilities balanced, while any late-model shifts in pressure gradients or precipitation timing could quickly tilt sentiment ahead of the final readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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