Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate overnight lows near 12–16°C on August 26 amid lingering effects from a mid-August cold front that suppressed temperatures earlier in the week. Variable cloud cover and light winds limit radiative cooling, while model runs diverge on exact minimums due to differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. These factors produce tightly clustered market-implied odds around 13–16°C, with traders weighing official agency guidance against ensemble spread in steering patterns and dew-point forecasts. Updated model runs and local observations through dawn will likely refine the final recorded low.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 26?
15°C 31%
13°C 31%
16°C 26%
14°C 24%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
1%
13°C
31%
14°C
24%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 31%
13°C 31%
16°C 26%
14°C 24%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
1%
13°C
31%
14°C
24%
15°C
31%
16°C
26%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate overnight lows near 12–16°C on August 26 amid lingering effects from a mid-August cold front that suppressed temperatures earlier in the week. Variable cloud cover and light winds limit radiative cooling, while model runs diverge on exact minimums due to differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. These factors produce tightly clustered market-implied odds around 13–16°C, with traders weighing official agency guidance against ensemble spread in steering patterns and dew-point forecasts. Updated model runs and local observations through dawn will likely refine the final recorded low.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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