**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on August 25, 2026, centers on the 82–83°F range at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 84–85°F at 23.5%.** This reflects the National Weather Service forecast of a high near 82°F under sunny conditions with light southwest-to-west onshore flow. Persistent marine layer influence and coastal stratus have moderated afternoon heating at the airport station despite a broader Southern California heat wave driven by a strong upper-level ridge. Recent model consensus from NWS and other agencies has held steady in the low-to-mid 80s, with no significant revisions from morning updates. Historical August normals at LAX hover around 77°F, so today’s conditions sit several degrees above average yet remain capped by the cool Pacific air mass. Stronger-than-expected onshore winds or a deeper marine layer could push readings into the 80–81°F band (currently 16%), while any erosion of the sea breeze might allow a brief push toward 84–85°F. Later-day model runs and real-time observations will determine whether the market stays anchored near 82°F or shifts slightly higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
82-83°F 50%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 6%
$16,146 ปริมาณ
$16,146 ปริมาณ
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 50%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 6%
$16,146 ปริมาณ
$16,146 ปริมาณ
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on August 25, 2026, centers on the 82–83°F range at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 84–85°F at 23.5%.** This reflects the National Weather Service forecast of a high near 82°F under sunny conditions with light southwest-to-west onshore flow. Persistent marine layer influence and coastal stratus have moderated afternoon heating at the airport station despite a broader Southern California heat wave driven by a strong upper-level ridge. Recent model consensus from NWS and other agencies has held steady in the low-to-mid 80s, with no significant revisions from morning updates. Historical August normals at LAX hover around 77°F, so today’s conditions sit several degrees above average yet remain capped by the cool Pacific air mass. Stronger-than-expected onshore winds or a deeper marine layer could push readings into the 80–81°F band (currently 16%), while any erosion of the sea breeze might allow a brief push toward 84–85°F. Later-day model runs and real-time observations will determine whether the market stays anchored near 82°F or shifts slightly higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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