Recent short-range forecasts from global models indicate a maximum of 26–27°C in Madrid on August 28 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime following cooler, showery conditions on the 26th–27th. These values sit 3–5°C below the 1991–2020 daily average high of ~31°C, reflecting a cooler-than-normal late-August air mass. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading from official stations, trader probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28°C while assigning low weight to extremes above 30°C or below 25°C, consistent with limited model spread and minimal expected variability from diurnal heating or cloud cover. Updated runs and any late adjustments in steering flow will be the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 28?
27°C 41%
26°C 32%
28°C 24%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
32%
27°C
41%
28°C
24%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 41%
26°C 32%
28°C 24%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$108 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$13 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$82 ปริมาณ
32%
27°C
$65 ปริมาณ
41%
28°C
$28 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global models indicate a maximum of 26–27°C in Madrid on August 28 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime following cooler, showery conditions on the 26th–27th. These values sit 3–5°C below the 1991–2020 daily average high of ~31°C, reflecting a cooler-than-normal late-August air mass. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading from official stations, trader probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28°C while assigning low weight to extremes above 30°C or below 25°C, consistent with limited model spread and minimal expected variability from diurnal heating or cloud cover. Updated runs and any late adjustments in steering flow will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$295วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global models indicate a maximum of 26–27°C in Madrid on August 28 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime following cooler, showery conditions on the 26th–27th. These values sit 3–5°C below the 1991–2020 daily average high of ~31°C, reflecting a cooler-than-normal late-August air mass. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading from official stations, trader probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28°C while assigning low weight to extremes above 30°C or below 25°C, consistent with limited model spread and minimal expected variability from diurnal heating or cloud cover. Updated runs and any late adjustments in steering flow will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$295วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from global models indicate a maximum of 26–27°C in Madrid on August 28 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime following cooler, showery conditions on the 26th–27th. These values sit 3–5°C below the 1991–2020 daily average high of ~31°C, reflecting a cooler-than-normal late-August air mass. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading from official stations, trader probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28°C while assigning low weight to extremes above 30°C or below 25°C, consistent with limited model spread and minimal expected variability from diurnal heating or cloud cover. Updated runs and any late adjustments in steering flow will be the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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