Recent official forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models indicate a peak temperature in Munich of 25–27°C on August 26, with partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 27°C. Afternoon observations and hourly projections cluster near 25–26°C, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer conditions without significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spreads account for the secondary probabilities on 26°C and 28°C, while the low odds below 25°C or at 29°C+ align with the absence of heat-wave signals or unexpected warming in current runs. Updated model outputs through the afternoon will further refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 26?
27°C 78%
26°C 13%
28°C 11%
25°C 2%
$33,626 ปริมาณ
$33,626 ปริมาณ
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
13%
27°C
78%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 78%
26°C 13%
28°C 11%
25°C 2%
$33,626 ปริมาณ
$33,626 ปริมาณ
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$1,399 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$2,014 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,591 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$2,803 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$4,724 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$5,486 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$6,914 ปริมาณ
78%
28°C
$4,169 ปริมาณ
11%
29°C
$2,649 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$1,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$847 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models indicate a peak temperature in Munich of 25–27°C on August 26, with partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 27°C. Afternoon observations and hourly projections cluster near 25–26°C, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer conditions without significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spreads account for the secondary probabilities on 26°C and 28°C, while the low odds below 25°C or at 29°C+ align with the absence of heat-wave signals or unexpected warming in current runs. Updated model outputs through the afternoon will further refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,626วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models indicate a peak temperature in Munich of 25–27°C on August 26, with partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 27°C. Afternoon observations and hourly projections cluster near 25–26°C, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer conditions without significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spreads account for the secondary probabilities on 26°C and 28°C, while the low odds below 25°C or at 29°C+ align with the absence of heat-wave signals or unexpected warming in current runs. Updated model outputs through the afternoon will further refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,626วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models indicate a peak temperature in Munich of 25–27°C on August 26, with partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 27°C. Afternoon observations and hourly projections cluster near 25–26°C, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer conditions without significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spreads account for the secondary probabilities on 26°C and 28°C, while the low odds below 25°C or at 29°C+ align with the absence of heat-wave signals or unexpected warming in current runs. Updated model outputs through the afternoon will further refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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