Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 23–25°C for Madrid on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover and a southwest flow advecting milder Atlantic air ahead of a weak front. This setup favors daytime maxima in the mid-20s rather than the seasonal climatological peak near 31°C, with light showers or overcast conditions likely capping afternoon heating and introducing modest model spread in exact peak timing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 24°C and 25°C because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential under these stable but moist conditions, while lower probabilities for 23°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in cloud breaks or shower intensity before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
24°C 33%
25°C 31%
23°C 16%
26°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
31%
26°C
15%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
25°C 31%
23°C 16%
26°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$337 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$190 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$773 ปริมาณ
16%
24°C
$277 ปริมาณ
33%
25°C
$464 ปริมาณ
31%
26°C
$671 ปริมาณ
15%
27°C
$118 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$38 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$106 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$387 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$727 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 23–25°C for Madrid on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover and a southwest flow advecting milder Atlantic air ahead of a weak front. This setup favors daytime maxima in the mid-20s rather than the seasonal climatological peak near 31°C, with light showers or overcast conditions likely capping afternoon heating and introducing modest model spread in exact peak timing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 24°C and 25°C because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential under these stable but moist conditions, while lower probabilities for 23°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in cloud breaks or shower intensity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,080วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 23–25°C for Madrid on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover and a southwest flow advecting milder Atlantic air ahead of a weak front. This setup favors daytime maxima in the mid-20s rather than the seasonal climatological peak near 31°C, with light showers or overcast conditions likely capping afternoon heating and introducing modest model spread in exact peak timing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 24°C and 25°C because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential under these stable but moist conditions, while lower probabilities for 23°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in cloud breaks or shower intensity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,080วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 23–25°C for Madrid on August 27, driven by increasing cloud cover and a southwest flow advecting milder Atlantic air ahead of a weak front. This setup favors daytime maxima in the mid-20s rather than the seasonal climatological peak near 31°C, with light showers or overcast conditions likely capping afternoon heating and introducing modest model spread in exact peak timing. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 24°C and 25°C because ensemble guidance shows limited diurnal warming potential under these stable but moist conditions, while lower probabilities for 23°C or 26°C reflect residual uncertainty in cloud breaks or shower intensity before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย