Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 31°C, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 23% chance at 32°C. Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer highs, with current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover supporting stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Model spread remains modest, centered between 30–32°C, consistent with the combined 95% probability on those three bins. Updated short-range guidance and any observed temperature trends over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 52%
32°C 23%
30°C 21%
29°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
21%
31°C
52%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 23%
30°C 21%
29°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$50 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$58 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$58 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$112 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$188 ปริมาณ
21%
31°C
$470 ปริมาณ
52%
32°C
$185 ปริมาณ
23%
33°C
$132 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$58 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$23 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$283 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 31°C, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 23% chance at 32°C. Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer highs, with current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover supporting stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Model spread remains modest, centered between 30–32°C, consistent with the combined 95% probability on those three bins. Updated short-range guidance and any observed temperature trends over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,618วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 31°C, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 23% chance at 32°C. Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer highs, with current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover supporting stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Model spread remains modest, centered between 30–32°C, consistent with the combined 95% probability on those three bins. Updated short-range guidance and any observed temperature trends over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,618วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 25 near 31°C, driving the 51% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 23% chance at 32°C. Late-August climatology shows a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer highs, with current high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover supporting stable, warm conditions without significant advection of cooler air. Model spread remains modest, centered between 30–32°C, consistent with the combined 95% probability on those three bins. Updated short-range guidance and any observed temperature trends over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย