**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low near 17–19°C on August 25, 2026, keeping the minimum well above 15°C while making a 25°C floor extremely unlikely.** Multiple numerical weather prediction sources, including ECMWF-influenced guidance and local Turkish Meteorological Service outputs, show clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds of 2–5 m/s, and dew points around 12–13°C that support efficient radiative cooling after sunset. Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and typically dry late-summer air mass amplify the diurnal temperature swing, routinely producing 12–15°C drops from daytime maxima of 30–34°C. **The near-even market odds between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes reflect ongoing uncertainty in the precise minimum rather than a broad range of plausible values.** Small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind direction, or residual cloud cover can shift the low by 1–2°C, which matters for the granular bins (16–22°C) that dominate volume. Historical climatology for late August shows average minima around 15–17°C, but the current stable high-pressure regime favors slightly milder readings unless an unexpected easterly flow advects cooler air. **Key resolution inputs will come from official station observations at Esenboğa Airport (LTAC) and Ankara city sites, with final values typically released within hours of midnight local time.** Updated model runs through August 24 evening could still nudge the forecast, particularly if humidity or wind fields change. Traders are therefore pricing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these short-term variables rather than any single deterministic outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
25°C or higher 91%
20°C 47%
21°C 47%
22°C 47%
15°C or below
46%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
24%
19°C
24%
20°C
47%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
91%
25°C or higher 91%
20°C 47%
21°C 47%
22°C 47%
15°C or below
46%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
24%
19°C
24%
20°C
47%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low near 17–19°C on August 25, 2026, keeping the minimum well above 15°C while making a 25°C floor extremely unlikely.** Multiple numerical weather prediction sources, including ECMWF-influenced guidance and local Turkish Meteorological Service outputs, show clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds of 2–5 m/s, and dew points around 12–13°C that support efficient radiative cooling after sunset. Ankara’s elevation near 900 m and typically dry late-summer air mass amplify the diurnal temperature swing, routinely producing 12–15°C drops from daytime maxima of 30–34°C. **The near-even market odds between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes reflect ongoing uncertainty in the precise minimum rather than a broad range of plausible values.** Small differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind direction, or residual cloud cover can shift the low by 1–2°C, which matters for the granular bins (16–22°C) that dominate volume. Historical climatology for late August shows average minima around 15–17°C, but the current stable high-pressure regime favors slightly milder readings unless an unexpected easterly flow advects cooler air. **Key resolution inputs will come from official station observations at Esenboğa Airport (LTAC) and Ankara city sites, with final values typically released within hours of midnight local time.** Updated model runs through August 24 evening could still nudge the forecast, particularly if humidity or wind fields change. Traders are therefore pricing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these short-term variables rather than any single deterministic outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย