Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for Tokyo on August 25 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This stems from the ongoing influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, delivering typical late-summer heat and humidity levels around 60–70% during peak afternoon hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs peaking at 33–35°C depending on cloud cover and exact wind timing, while historical August maxima average 30–31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at the Tokyo station. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing could refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
11%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
35°C 14%
32°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$20 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$109 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$210 ปริมาณ
11%
33°C
$1,097 ปริมาณ
24%
34°C
$178 ปริมาณ
33%
35°C
$60 ปริมาณ
14%
36°C
$363 ปริมาณ
4%
37°C
$152 ปริมาณ
3%
38°C
$311 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C or higher
$197 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for Tokyo on August 25 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This stems from the ongoing influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, delivering typical late-summer heat and humidity levels around 60–70% during peak afternoon hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs peaking at 33–35°C depending on cloud cover and exact wind timing, while historical August maxima average 30–31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at the Tokyo station. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,708วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for Tokyo on August 25 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This stems from the ongoing influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, delivering typical late-summer heat and humidity levels around 60–70% during peak afternoon hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs peaking at 33–35°C depending on cloud cover and exact wind timing, while historical August maxima average 30–31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at the Tokyo station. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,708วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 34°C for Tokyo on August 25 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with southerly winds of 10–15 km/h. This stems from the ongoing influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, delivering typical late-summer heat and humidity levels around 60–70% during peak afternoon hours. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs peaking at 33–35°C depending on cloud cover and exact wind timing, while historical August maxima average 30–31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the official recorded high at the Tokyo station. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing could refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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