Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies with a minimum temperature near 25°C, aligning with seasonal norms of 24–25°C driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus favoring 27°C as the leading outcome (45% implied probability) reflects model runs incorporating the urban heat island effect and recent warming trends that have elevated overnight lows above climatological baselines. Key variables include steering patterns and cloud cover that could alter cooling rates, with updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts due within the next 24 hours likely to refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
27°C 45%
28°C 26%
26°C 24%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
9%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
28°C 26%
26°C 24%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$50 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$62 ปริมาณ
24%
27°C
$70 ปริมาณ
45%
28°C
$165 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies with a minimum temperature near 25°C, aligning with seasonal norms of 24–25°C driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus favoring 27°C as the leading outcome (45% implied probability) reflects model runs incorporating the urban heat island effect and recent warming trends that have elevated overnight lows above climatological baselines. Key variables include steering patterns and cloud cover that could alter cooling rates, with updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts due within the next 24 hours likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$387วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies with a minimum temperature near 25°C, aligning with seasonal norms of 24–25°C driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus favoring 27°C as the leading outcome (45% implied probability) reflects model runs incorporating the urban heat island effect and recent warming trends that have elevated overnight lows above climatological baselines. Key variables include steering patterns and cloud cover that could alter cooling rates, with updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts due within the next 24 hours likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$387วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies with a minimum temperature near 25°C, aligning with seasonal norms of 24–25°C driven by persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling in the urban environment. Trader consensus favoring 27°C as the leading outcome (45% implied probability) reflects model runs incorporating the urban heat island effect and recent warming trends that have elevated overnight lows above climatological baselines. Key variables include steering patterns and cloud cover that could alter cooling rates, with updated JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts due within the next 24 hours likely to refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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