Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on a lowest temperature of 32°C or higher for Guangzhou on August 25, reflecting trader consensus around persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Southern China’s urban heat-island effect and southerly flow often limit nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated when high pressure dominates. Recent model guidance from regional agencies highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited frontal activity or tropical cyclone influence in the short term, supporting above-normal minimums relative to climatological baselines of 25–27°C. Uncertainty remains from potential shifts in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could enhance cooling, though current data favor limited variability through the forecast window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 83%
23°C 40%
31°C 38%
27°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
40%
24°C
26%
25°C
24%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
2%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
83%
32°C or higher 83%
23°C 40%
31°C 38%
27°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$79 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$63 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
30°C
$15 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$15 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C or higher
$155 ปริมาณ
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on a lowest temperature of 32°C or higher for Guangzhou on August 25, reflecting trader consensus around persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Southern China’s urban heat-island effect and southerly flow often limit nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated when high pressure dominates. Recent model guidance from regional agencies highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited frontal activity or tropical cyclone influence in the short term, supporting above-normal minimums relative to climatological baselines of 25–27°C. Uncertainty remains from potential shifts in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could enhance cooling, though current data favor limited variability through the forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$322วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on a lowest temperature of 32°C or higher for Guangzhou on August 25, reflecting trader consensus around persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Southern China’s urban heat-island effect and southerly flow often limit nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated when high pressure dominates. Recent model guidance from regional agencies highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited frontal activity or tropical cyclone influence in the short term, supporting above-normal minimums relative to climatological baselines of 25–27°C. Uncertainty remains from potential shifts in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could enhance cooling, though current data favor limited variability through the forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$322วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on a lowest temperature of 32°C or higher for Guangzhou on August 25, reflecting trader consensus around persistent warm, humid conditions typical of late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Southern China’s urban heat-island effect and southerly flow often limit nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated when high pressure dominates. Recent model guidance from regional agencies highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited frontal activity or tropical cyclone influence in the short term, supporting above-normal minimums relative to climatological baselines of 25–27°C. Uncertainty remains from potential shifts in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could enhance cooling, though current data favor limited variability through the forecast window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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