**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity in Guangzhou's subtropical climate are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited on August 24, 2026, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 25–27 °C.** Official and model forecasts (including GFS-based runs) show lows clustered around 26–28 °C, consistent with the 58% implied probability on 27 °C and secondary support for 25 °C and 26 °C. Widespread rain, overcast skies, and dew points near 26–27 °C suppress temperature drops after sunset, while light winds limit mixing. This aligns with late-August climatology (average low ~25.3 °C) but is elevated by current convective activity and moisture. Lower probabilities below 24 °C reflect the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions or a stronger frontal intrusion that would allow greater cooling, while higher readings (≥28 °C) are discounted given ongoing precipitation and cloud cover. Traders are weighting real-time observational trends and short-term model consensus showing stable warm, humid nights rather than historical extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
24°C 33%
23°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
33%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
58%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
24°C 33%
23°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$159 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$181 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$179 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$96 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$22 ปริมาณ
33%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
27°C
$123 ปริมาณ
58%
28°C
$338 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$312 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity in Guangzhou's subtropical climate are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited on August 24, 2026, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 25–27 °C.**
Official and model forecasts (including GFS-based runs) show lows clustered around 26–28 °C, consistent with the 58% implied probability on 27 °C and secondary support for 25 °C and 26 °C. Widespread rain, overcast skies, and dew points near 26–27 °C suppress temperature drops after sunset, while light winds limit mixing.
This aligns with late-August climatology (average low ~25.3 °C) but is elevated by current convective activity and moisture. Lower probabilities below 24 °C reflect the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions or a stronger frontal intrusion that would allow greater cooling, while higher readings (≥28 °C) are discounted given ongoing precipitation and cloud cover.
Traders are weighting real-time observational trends and short-term model consensus showing stable warm, humid nights rather than historical extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,515วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity in Guangzhou's subtropical climate are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited on August 24, 2026, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 25–27 °C.**
Official and model forecasts (including GFS-based runs) show lows clustered around 26–28 °C, consistent with the 58% implied probability on 27 °C and secondary support for 25 °C and 26 °C. Widespread rain, overcast skies, and dew points near 26–27 °C suppress temperature drops after sunset, while light winds limit mixing.
This aligns with late-August climatology (average low ~25.3 °C) but is elevated by current convective activity and moisture. Lower probabilities below 24 °C reflect the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions or a stronger frontal intrusion that would allow greater cooling, while higher readings (≥28 °C) are discounted given ongoing precipitation and cloud cover.
Traders are weighting real-time observational trends and short-term model consensus showing stable warm, humid nights rather than historical extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,515วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity in Guangzhou's subtropical climate are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited on August 24, 2026, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily minimum near 25–27 °C.** Official and model forecasts (including GFS-based runs) show lows clustered around 26–28 °C, consistent with the 58% implied probability on 27 °C and secondary support for 25 °C and 26 °C. Widespread rain, overcast skies, and dew points near 26–27 °C suppress temperature drops after sunset, while light winds limit mixing. This aligns with late-August climatology (average low ~25.3 °C) but is elevated by current convective activity and moisture. Lower probabilities below 24 °C reflect the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions or a stronger frontal intrusion that would allow greater cooling, while higher readings (≥28 °C) are discounted given ongoing precipitation and cloud cover. Traders are weighting real-time observational trends and short-term model consensus showing stable warm, humid nights rather than historical extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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