Recent meteorological model runs from sources like GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, producing clear skies and light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h across Warsaw on August 26. These conditions promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under low humidity and dew points near 11°C, supporting a minimum temperature most likely between 11–13°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest variations in cloud cover or wind speed able to shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 15°C) underscores how this setup deviates toward cooler readings, while traders weigh the narrow window for final observational adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
11°C 31%
12°C 26%
13°C 25%
10°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
8%
8°C
3%
9°C
12%
10°C
23%
11°C
31%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
8%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
11°C 31%
12°C 26%
13°C 25%
10°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
8°C
$95 ปริมาณ
3%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
14°C
$40 ปริมาณ
8%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C
$70 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C or higher
$135 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model runs from sources like GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, producing clear skies and light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h across Warsaw on August 26. These conditions promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under low humidity and dew points near 11°C, supporting a minimum temperature most likely between 11–13°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest variations in cloud cover or wind speed able to shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 15°C) underscores how this setup deviates toward cooler readings, while traders weigh the narrow window for final observational adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$345วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model runs from sources like GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, producing clear skies and light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h across Warsaw on August 26. These conditions promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under low humidity and dew points near 11°C, supporting a minimum temperature most likely between 11–13°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest variations in cloud cover or wind speed able to shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 15°C) underscores how this setup deviates toward cooler readings, while traders weigh the narrow window for final observational adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$345วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model runs from sources like GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, producing clear skies and light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h across Warsaw on August 26. These conditions promote efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under low humidity and dew points near 11°C, supporting a minimum temperature most likely between 11–13°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest variations in cloud cover or wind speed able to shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 15°C) underscores how this setup deviates toward cooler readings, while traders weigh the narrow window for final observational adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย