Current meteorological consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high for Wellington on August 25 as the leading outcome, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above the long-term August mean of roughly 13–14°C, with a 17°C peak recorded on August 23 supporting the elevated baseline. Ensemble guidance indicates limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds, keeping the daily maximum unlikely to reach 17°C or drop to 14°C. Updated model runs overnight and official station readings tomorrow morning represent the final data points that will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
16°C 60%
15°C 18%
17°C 18%
18°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
18%
16°C
60%
17°C
18%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 18%
17°C 18%
18°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$252 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$725 ปริมาณ
4%
15°C
$1,938 ปริมาณ
18%
16°C
$2,611 ปริมาณ
60%
17°C
$1,303 ปริมาณ
18%
18°C
$674 ปริมาณ
4%
19°C
$183 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,173 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high for Wellington on August 25 as the leading outcome, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above the long-term August mean of roughly 13–14°C, with a 17°C peak recorded on August 23 supporting the elevated baseline. Ensemble guidance indicates limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds, keeping the daily maximum unlikely to reach 17°C or drop to 14°C. Updated model runs overnight and official station readings tomorrow morning represent the final data points that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,576วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high for Wellington on August 25 as the leading outcome, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above the long-term August mean of roughly 13–14°C, with a 17°C peak recorded on August 23 supporting the elevated baseline. Ensemble guidance indicates limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds, keeping the daily maximum unlikely to reach 17°C or drop to 14°C. Updated model runs overnight and official station readings tomorrow morning represent the final data points that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,576วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological consensus from MetService and global models positions a 15–16°C high for Wellington on August 25 as the leading outcome, driven by persistent northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above the long-term August mean of roughly 13–14°C, with a 17°C peak recorded on August 23 supporting the elevated baseline. Ensemble guidance indicates limited diurnal warming under increasing cloud cover and gusty winds, keeping the daily maximum unlikely to reach 17°C or drop to 14°C. Updated model runs overnight and official station readings tomorrow morning represent the final data points that will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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