**Current forecast consensus from MetService and other models points to a minimum of 7–8 °C in Wellington on 24 August 2026 under fine conditions and northwesterly flow.** A high-pressure system moving onto the North Island is expected to bring mostly clear skies and light-to-moderate winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling that typically produces the day’s lowest reading just before dawn. Seasonal baselines for late-winter Wellington show average August minima near 7–9 °C, and the current setup lacks strong southerly advection or cloud cover that would raise the floor. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values, with limited spread between guidance, which explains why the market heavily favors 8 °C (54 %) and 7 °C (26 %). Any shift in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the minimum a degree either way, but no major cold-air outbreak or blocking pattern is indicated in the latest official outlooks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
7°C 52%
5°C or below 1.0%
6°C <1%
9°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
52%
8°C
54%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
7°C 52%
5°C or below 1.0%
6°C <1%
9°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
5°C or below
$185 ปริมาณ
1%
6°C
$74 ปริมาณ
1%
7°C
$84 ปริมาณ
52%
8°C
$27 ปริมาณ
54%
9°C
$427 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$337 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$484 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$335 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$481 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C or higher
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from MetService and other models points to a minimum of 7–8 °C in Wellington on 24 August 2026 under fine conditions and northwesterly flow.** A high-pressure system moving onto the North Island is expected to bring mostly clear skies and light-to-moderate winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling that typically produces the day’s lowest reading just before dawn. Seasonal baselines for late-winter Wellington show average August minima near 7–9 °C, and the current setup lacks strong southerly advection or cloud cover that would raise the floor.
Recent model runs have stabilized around these values, with limited spread between guidance, which explains why the market heavily favors 8 °C (54 %) and 7 °C (26 %). Any shift in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the minimum a degree either way, but no major cold-air outbreak or blocking pattern is indicated in the latest official outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,976วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from MetService and other models points to a minimum of 7–8 °C in Wellington on 24 August 2026 under fine conditions and northwesterly flow.** A high-pressure system moving onto the North Island is expected to bring mostly clear skies and light-to-moderate winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling that typically produces the day’s lowest reading just before dawn. Seasonal baselines for late-winter Wellington show average August minima near 7–9 °C, and the current setup lacks strong southerly advection or cloud cover that would raise the floor.
Recent model runs have stabilized around these values, with limited spread between guidance, which explains why the market heavily favors 8 °C (54 %) and 7 °C (26 %). Any shift in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the minimum a degree either way, but no major cold-air outbreak or blocking pattern is indicated in the latest official outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,976วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from MetService and other models points to a minimum of 7–8 °C in Wellington on 24 August 2026 under fine conditions and northwesterly flow.** A high-pressure system moving onto the North Island is expected to bring mostly clear skies and light-to-moderate winds overnight, favoring radiative cooling that typically produces the day’s lowest reading just before dawn. Seasonal baselines for late-winter Wellington show average August minima near 7–9 °C, and the current setup lacks strong southerly advection or cloud cover that would raise the floor. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values, with limited spread between guidance, which explains why the market heavily favors 8 °C (54 %) and 7 °C (26 %). Any shift in cloud timing or wind strength could nudge the minimum a degree either way, but no major cold-air outbreak or blocking pattern is indicated in the latest official outlooks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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