National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models point to a peak near 69–72°F in San Francisco today, aligning with late-August climatology where marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow typically cap highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Persistent coastal clouds and a weak trough have limited afternoon warming, keeping readings close to the long-term average of 70°F while suppressing stronger inland heat advection. Trader consensus favors the 70–71°F bin because current model runs show only modest clearing potential by peak heating hours, with 72–73°F remaining viable if the marine layer erodes earlier than expected. No significant warm-air intrusion or ridge building is anticipated before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
70-71°F 38%
68-69°F 23%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 9%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 38%
68-69°F 23%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 9%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models point to a peak near 69–72°F in San Francisco today, aligning with late-August climatology where marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow typically cap highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Persistent coastal clouds and a weak trough have limited afternoon warming, keeping readings close to the long-term average of 70°F while suppressing stronger inland heat advection. Trader consensus favors the 70–71°F bin because current model runs show only modest clearing potential by peak heating hours, with 72–73°F remaining viable if the marine layer erodes earlier than expected. No significant warm-air intrusion or ridge building is anticipated before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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