Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 11–12 °C amid persistent cloud cover, light northwest winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9–11 °C because current observations hover near 12 °C early morning while model runs diverge slightly on how much further the mercury may dip before sunrise. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.6 °C for the date, with cloudiness and modest advection from cooler air masses keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model guidance and official Russian meteorological briefings expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift the narrow implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
10°C 49%
9°C 48%
11°C 48%
12°C 43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
48%
10°C
49%
11°C
48%
12°C
43%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 49%
9°C 48%
11°C 48%
12°C 43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
13°C
$113 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$337 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$924 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$345 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$430 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 11–12 °C amid persistent cloud cover, light northwest winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9–11 °C because current observations hover near 12 °C early morning while model runs diverge slightly on how much further the mercury may dip before sunrise. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.6 °C for the date, with cloudiness and modest advection from cooler air masses keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model guidance and official Russian meteorological briefings expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift the narrow implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,175วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 11–12 °C amid persistent cloud cover, light northwest winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9–11 °C because current observations hover near 12 °C early morning while model runs diverge slightly on how much further the mercury may dip before sunrise. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.6 °C for the date, with cloudiness and modest advection from cooler air masses keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model guidance and official Russian meteorological briefings expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift the narrow implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,175วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely settle near 11–12 °C amid persistent cloud cover, light northwest winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9–11 °C because current observations hover near 12 °C early morning while model runs diverge slightly on how much further the mercury may dip before sunrise. Historical climatology shows an average low of 11.6 °C for the date, with cloudiness and modest advection from cooler air masses keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger nocturnal drops. Updated model guidance and official Russian meteorological briefings expected later today represent the next key data points that could shift the narrow implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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