Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Shenzhen on August 26 amid persistent monsoon moisture, high dew points above 24°C, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August averages of 26°C lows while recent model runs show modest spread from steering patterns and localized rain timing. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty between warmer outcomes (elevated humidity suppressing drops) and cooler ones (brief clear spells or heavier rainfall), with upcoming updated forecasts from regional centers likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
22°C or below 66%
23°C 41%
31°C 39%
30°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
66%
23°C
41%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
28%
27°C
24%
28°C
25%
29°C
24%
30°C
37%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
34%
22°C or below 66%
23°C 41%
31°C 39%
30°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
66%
23°C
$145 ปริมาณ
41%
24°C
$42 ปริมาณ
6%
25°C
$10 ปริมาณ
24%
26°C
$10 ปริมาณ
28%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
30°C
$150 ปริมาณ
37%
31°C
$135 ปริมาณ
39%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Shenzhen on August 26 amid persistent monsoon moisture, high dew points above 24°C, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August averages of 26°C lows while recent model runs show modest spread from steering patterns and localized rain timing. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty between warmer outcomes (elevated humidity suppressing drops) and cooler ones (brief clear spells or heavier rainfall), with upcoming updated forecasts from regional centers likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$627วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Shenzhen on August 26 amid persistent monsoon moisture, high dew points above 24°C, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August averages of 26°C lows while recent model runs show modest spread from steering patterns and localized rain timing. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty between warmer outcomes (elevated humidity suppressing drops) and cooler ones (brief clear spells or heavier rainfall), with upcoming updated forecasts from regional centers likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$627วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Shenzhen on August 26 amid persistent monsoon moisture, high dew points above 24°C, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August averages of 26°C lows while recent model runs show modest spread from steering patterns and localized rain timing. Trader sentiment reflects genuine uncertainty between warmer outcomes (elevated humidity suppressing drops) and cooler ones (brief clear spells or heavier rainfall), with upcoming updated forecasts from regional centers likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย