Current forecasts for Beijing indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C on August 26 amid late-summer conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling, as increased humidity and cloudiness can limit temperature drops while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered between 19°C and 23°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around those levels. Typical August climatology features average lows near 21°C, and traders appear to weigh the balance between potential rain-enhanced moderation and standard diurnal ranges in an urban environment. Updated model runs or evening observations could refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
21°C 28%
23°C 26%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
28%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
24%
25°C
22%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
3%
21°C 28%
23°C 26%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$46 ปริมาณ
11%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
25°C
$86 ปริมาณ
22%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$130 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Beijing indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C on August 26 amid late-summer conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling, as increased humidity and cloudiness can limit temperature drops while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered between 19°C and 23°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around those levels. Typical August climatology features average lows near 21°C, and traders appear to weigh the balance between potential rain-enhanced moderation and standard diurnal ranges in an urban environment. Updated model runs or evening observations could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$397วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Beijing indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C on August 26 amid late-summer conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling, as increased humidity and cloudiness can limit temperature drops while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered between 19°C and 23°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around those levels. Typical August climatology features average lows near 21°C, and traders appear to weigh the balance between potential rain-enhanced moderation and standard diurnal ranges in an urban environment. Updated model runs or evening observations could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$397วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Beijing indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C on August 26 amid late-summer conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This setup creates uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling, as increased humidity and cloudiness can limit temperature drops while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered between 19°C and 23°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities around those levels. Typical August climatology features average lows near 21°C, and traders appear to weigh the balance between potential rain-enhanced moderation and standard diurnal ranges in an urban environment. Updated model runs or evening observations could refine the exact threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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