**Dominant trader consensus on a 26°C overnight low for Shenzhen on August 28 stems from persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models projecting minima of 26–27°C amid high humidity (85–95%), extensive cloud cover, and recent heavy rainfall that limits radiative cooling.** Warm, moist air masses and light southwesterly winds maintain elevated temperatures through the night, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 25–27°C. The 98% implied probability for 26°C reflects alignment across observational data and short-range guidance, with only modest uncertainty around localized variations. A realistic shift to 25°C or lower would require clearer skies or an unexpected influx of drier air, though current steering patterns and model consensus make this improbable before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$2,000 ปริมาณ
$2,000 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$2,000 ปริมาณ
$2,000 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$169 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$80 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$29 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$93 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$346 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$85 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$276 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$502 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$84 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$244 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$94 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Dominant trader consensus on a 26°C overnight low for Shenzhen on August 28 stems from persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models projecting minima of 26–27°C amid high humidity (85–95%), extensive cloud cover, and recent heavy rainfall that limits radiative cooling.**
Warm, moist air masses and light southwesterly winds maintain elevated temperatures through the night, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 25–27°C. The 98% implied probability for 26°C reflects alignment across observational data and short-range guidance, with only modest uncertainty around localized variations. A realistic shift to 25°C or lower would require clearer skies or an unexpected influx of drier air, though current steering patterns and model consensus make this improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,000วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Dominant trader consensus on a 26°C overnight low for Shenzhen on August 28 stems from persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models projecting minima of 26–27°C amid high humidity (85–95%), extensive cloud cover, and recent heavy rainfall that limits radiative cooling.**
Warm, moist air masses and light southwesterly winds maintain elevated temperatures through the night, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 25–27°C. The 98% implied probability for 26°C reflects alignment across observational data and short-range guidance, with only modest uncertainty around localized variations. A realistic shift to 25°C or lower would require clearer skies or an unexpected influx of drier air, though current steering patterns and model consensus make this improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,000วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Dominant trader consensus on a 26°C overnight low for Shenzhen on August 28 stems from persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with official forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models projecting minima of 26–27°C amid high humidity (85–95%), extensive cloud cover, and recent heavy rainfall that limits radiative cooling.** Warm, moist air masses and light southwesterly winds maintain elevated temperatures through the night, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover near 25–27°C. The 98% implied probability for 26°C reflects alignment across observational data and short-range guidance, with only modest uncertainty around localized variations. A realistic shift to 25°C or lower would require clearer skies or an unexpected influx of drier air, though current steering patterns and model consensus make this improbable before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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