Persistent marine layer influence and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current and coastal upwelling keep Pacific waters near 55–58°F, capping San Francisco highs below the 69.8°F climatological average and positioning 66–71°F bins as the leading outcomes. National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 point to partly cloudy skies with a high near 66–69°F at SFO, where minor afternoon clearing or lighter winds could add 2–3°F while thicker stratus or stronger sea breezes favor the lower end. Trader consensus on 68–69°F (36.5%) and adjacent ranges reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns, with low probabilities below 64°F or above 72°F underscoring limited upside potential under typical late-August coastal conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
59°F or below
$316 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$115 ปริมาณ
2%
62-63°F
$41 ปริมาณ
4%
64-65°F
$179 ปริมาณ
9%
66-67°F
$286 ปริมาณ
22%
68-69°F
$386 ปริมาณ
37%
70-71°F
$922 ปริมาณ
26%
72-73°F
$406 ปริมาณ
4%
74-75°F
$103 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
78°F or higher
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current and coastal upwelling keep Pacific waters near 55–58°F, capping San Francisco highs below the 69.8°F climatological average and positioning 66–71°F bins as the leading outcomes. National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 point to partly cloudy skies with a high near 66–69°F at SFO, where minor afternoon clearing or lighter winds could add 2–3°F while thicker stratus or stronger sea breezes favor the lower end. Trader consensus on 68–69°F (36.5%) and adjacent ranges reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns, with low probabilities below 64°F or above 72°F underscoring limited upside potential under typical late-August coastal conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,007วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current and coastal upwelling keep Pacific waters near 55–58°F, capping San Francisco highs below the 69.8°F climatological average and positioning 66–71°F bins as the leading outcomes. National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 point to partly cloudy skies with a high near 66–69°F at SFO, where minor afternoon clearing or lighter winds could add 2–3°F while thicker stratus or stronger sea breezes favor the lower end. Trader consensus on 68–69°F (36.5%) and adjacent ranges reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns, with low probabilities below 64°F or above 72°F underscoring limited upside potential under typical late-August coastal conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,007วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer influence and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current and coastal upwelling keep Pacific waters near 55–58°F, capping San Francisco highs below the 69.8°F climatological average and positioning 66–71°F bins as the leading outcomes. National Weather Service forecasts for August 30 point to partly cloudy skies with a high near 66–69°F at SFO, where minor afternoon clearing or lighter winds could add 2–3°F while thicker stratus or stronger sea breezes favor the lower end. Trader consensus on 68–69°F (36.5%) and adjacent ranges reflects model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind patterns, with low probabilities below 64°F or above 72°F underscoring limited upside potential under typical late-August coastal conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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