Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies show Amsterdam under persistent southwesterly flow on August 29, delivering mild maritime air with highs most likely reaching 21–22°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Stronger winds (15–20 km/h) and high humidity will further suppress surface heating compared with the warmer 27–29°C conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming. Traders have accordingly concentrated implied probability on the 21–23°C range, reflecting both the latest model consensus and the limited time remaining before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
22°C 40%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
19°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C
23%
22°C
40%
23°C
28%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
19°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C
23%
22°C
40%
23°C
28%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies show Amsterdam under persistent southwesterly flow on August 29, delivering mild maritime air with highs most likely reaching 21–22°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Stronger winds (15–20 km/h) and high humidity will further suppress surface heating compared with the warmer 27–29°C conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming. Traders have accordingly concentrated implied probability on the 21–23°C range, reflecting both the latest model consensus and the limited time remaining before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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