Latest ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on August 27 most likely between 26–27°C, with possible thundery showers and increased cloud cover moderating daytime heating. This places the market-implied odds for 27°C at 31.5% and 26°C at 24.5% in line with model consensus, while the 28°C outcome at 22.5% reflects residual uncertainty in frontal timing and local insolation. Historical late-August baselines average near 24–25°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from the west introduce variability in peak values, with new high-resolution model updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 27?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 27?
27°C 32%
26°C 25%
28°C 23%
25°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
25%
27°C
32%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 32%
26°C 25%
28°C 23%
25°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
20°C or below
$385 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$121 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$95 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$290 ปริมาณ
12%
26°C
$232 ปริมาณ
25%
27°C
$422 ปริมาณ
32%
28°C
$515 ปริมาณ
23%
29°C
$159 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C or higher
$118 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on August 27 most likely between 26–27°C, with possible thundery showers and increased cloud cover moderating daytime heating. This places the market-implied odds for 27°C at 31.5% and 26°C at 24.5% in line with model consensus, while the 28°C outcome at 22.5% reflects residual uncertainty in frontal timing and local insolation. Historical late-August baselines average near 24–25°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from the west introduce variability in peak values, with new high-resolution model updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,338วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on August 27 most likely between 26–27°C, with possible thundery showers and increased cloud cover moderating daytime heating. This places the market-implied odds for 27°C at 31.5% and 26°C at 24.5% in line with model consensus, while the 28°C outcome at 22.5% reflects residual uncertainty in frontal timing and local insolation. Historical late-August baselines average near 24–25°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from the west introduce variability in peak values, with new high-resolution model updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,338วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Météo-France indicate a maximum temperature in Paris on August 27 most likely between 26–27°C, with possible thundery showers and increased cloud cover moderating daytime heating. This places the market-implied odds for 27°C at 31.5% and 26°C at 24.5% in line with model consensus, while the 28°C outcome at 22.5% reflects residual uncertainty in frontal timing and local insolation. Historical late-August baselines average near 24–25°C, but current steering patterns and moisture influx from the west introduce variability in peak values, with new high-resolution model updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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