Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 25 most likely between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating limited by increased cloud cover and slightly below-normal 850 hPa temperatures relative to mid-August climatology, when highs reached 31°C. Key variables that could shift the final maximum include the exact timing and extent of afternoon cloud build-up versus clear intervals, local urban heat-island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next day will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 25?
27°C 35%
26°C 28%
28°C 27%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 35%
26°C 28%
28°C 27%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$19 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$9 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$9 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$9 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$191 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$229 ปริมาณ
28%
27°C
$124 ปริมาณ
35%
28°C
$41 ปริมาณ
27%
29°C
$21 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C or higher
$4 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 25 most likely between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating limited by increased cloud cover and slightly below-normal 850 hPa temperatures relative to mid-August climatology, when highs reached 31°C. Key variables that could shift the final maximum include the exact timing and extent of afternoon cloud build-up versus clear intervals, local urban heat-island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next day will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$688วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 25 most likely between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating limited by increased cloud cover and slightly below-normal 850 hPa temperatures relative to mid-August climatology, when highs reached 31°C. Key variables that could shift the final maximum include the exact timing and extent of afternoon cloud build-up versus clear intervals, local urban heat-island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next day will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$688วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 25 most likely between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating limited by increased cloud cover and slightly below-normal 850 hPa temperatures relative to mid-August climatology, when highs reached 31°C. Key variables that could shift the final maximum include the exact timing and extent of afternoon cloud build-up versus clear intervals, local urban heat-island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next day will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย