**Current JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 27 indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, a primary factor capping daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–31°C.** These conditions limit solar insolation compared to clearer days, while the lingering influence of a strong Pacific high keeps baseline warmth above seasonal norms for late August, when historical averages reach about 31°C. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on modest cooling from precipitation timing and cloud cover, with minor divergences in wind or shower intensity potentially shifting the exact maximum by 1°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo add slight upward bias to official readings, but overall atmospheric moisture and reduced sunshine favor the narrow 30–31°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
30°C 32%
31°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
9%
30°C
32%
31°C
30%
32°C
19%
33°C
9%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
$61 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$37 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$16 ปริมาณ
32%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
30%
32°C
$10 ปริมาณ
19%
33°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$205 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 27 indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, a primary factor capping daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–31°C.** These conditions limit solar insolation compared to clearer days, while the lingering influence of a strong Pacific high keeps baseline warmth above seasonal norms for late August, when historical averages reach about 31°C. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on modest cooling from precipitation timing and cloud cover, with minor divergences in wind or shower intensity potentially shifting the exact maximum by 1°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo add slight upward bias to official readings, but overall atmospheric moisture and reduced sunshine favor the narrow 30–31°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$519วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 27 indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, a primary factor capping daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–31°C.** These conditions limit solar insolation compared to clearer days, while the lingering influence of a strong Pacific high keeps baseline warmth above seasonal norms for late August, when historical averages reach about 31°C. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on modest cooling from precipitation timing and cloud cover, with minor divergences in wind or shower intensity potentially shifting the exact maximum by 1°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo add slight upward bias to official readings, but overall atmospheric moisture and reduced sunshine favor the narrow 30–31°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$519วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 27 indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, a primary factor capping daytime heating and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–31°C.** These conditions limit solar insolation compared to clearer days, while the lingering influence of a strong Pacific high keeps baseline warmth above seasonal norms for late August, when historical averages reach about 31°C. Trader consensus reflects model agreement on modest cooling from precipitation timing and cloud cover, with minor divergences in wind or shower intensity potentially shifting the exact maximum by 1°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo add slight upward bias to official readings, but overall atmospheric moisture and reduced sunshine favor the narrow 30–31°C range over higher or lower extremes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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