Forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on 29 August will most likely settle between 15–17 °C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow of mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface winds of 10–17 mph should further mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops, while dew points near 14–16 °C support only modest cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these three outcomes reflects model agreement on this range two days before the observation window, with smaller probabilities assigned to 14 °C or 18 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind gusts. Updated model runs and official guidance from KNMI will provide the final calibration before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
16°C 29%
15°C 27%
17°C 27%
18°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
8%
13°C
11%
14°C
13%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
16%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
8%
16°C 29%
15°C 27%
17°C 27%
18°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on 29 August will most likely settle between 15–17 °C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow of mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface winds of 10–17 mph should further mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops, while dew points near 14–16 °C support only modest cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these three outcomes reflects model agreement on this range two days before the observation window, with smaller probabilities assigned to 14 °C or 18 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind gusts. Updated model runs and official guidance from KNMI will provide the final calibration before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on 29 August will most likely settle between 15–17 °C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow of mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface winds of 10–17 mph should further mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops, while dew points near 14–16 °C support only modest cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these three outcomes reflects model agreement on this range two days before the observation window, with smaller probabilities assigned to 14 °C or 18 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind gusts. Updated model runs and official guidance from KNMI will provide the final calibration before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on 29 August will most likely settle between 15–17 °C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow of mild maritime air, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface winds of 10–17 mph should further mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops, while dew points near 14–16 °C support only modest cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these three outcomes reflects model agreement on this range two days before the observation window, with smaller probabilities assigned to 14 °C or 18 °C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind gusts. Updated model runs and official guidance from KNMI will provide the final calibration before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย