Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest high for Cape Town on August 29 near 16–17°C amid southerly flow and extensive cloud cover, supporting the near-even market odds on 17°C versus 18°C. Persistent on-shore winds from the South Atlantic advect cooler marine air while light rain or drizzle suppresses surface heating, limiting afternoon maxima compared with clearer recent days. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs around 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly below-average values. Traders appear focused on minor model differences in cloud timing and wind strength, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C, with resolution hinging on the precise observed maximum at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
17°C 29%
18°C 29%
19°C 19%
16°C 14%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
14%
17°C
29%
18°C
29%
19°C
19%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 29%
18°C 29%
19°C 19%
16°C 14%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
14%
17°C
29%
18°C
29%
19°C
19%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest high for Cape Town on August 29 near 16–17°C amid southerly flow and extensive cloud cover, supporting the near-even market odds on 17°C versus 18°C. Persistent on-shore winds from the South Atlantic advect cooler marine air while light rain or drizzle suppresses surface heating, limiting afternoon maxima compared with clearer recent days. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs around 18°C, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly below-average values. Traders appear focused on minor model differences in cloud timing and wind strength, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C, with resolution hinging on the precise observed maximum at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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