Numerical weather prediction ensembles from models such as ECMWF and GFS currently show Chengdu maximum temperatures on August 30 clustering near 31–33 °C, driving the tight market spread where 32 °C leads at 22.5 % implied probability. This reflects modest forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow associated with the East Asian monsoon trough. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin averages around 30–32 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against potential diurnal heating under clearer skies or localized rainfall that could cap highs near 31 °C. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
32°C 22%
29°C 20%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
20%
30°C
12%
31°C
19%
32°C
22%
33°C
20%
34°C
11%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
4%
32°C 22%
29°C 20%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
34°C
$2 ปริมาณ
11%
35°C
$2 ปริมาณ
8%
36°C
$12 ปริมาณ
6%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
38°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from models such as ECMWF and GFS currently show Chengdu maximum temperatures on August 30 clustering near 31–33 °C, driving the tight market spread where 32 °C leads at 22.5 % implied probability. This reflects modest forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow associated with the East Asian monsoon trough. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin averages around 30–32 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against potential diurnal heating under clearer skies or localized rainfall that could cap highs near 31 °C. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from models such as ECMWF and GFS currently show Chengdu maximum temperatures on August 30 clustering near 31–33 °C, driving the tight market spread where 32 °C leads at 22.5 % implied probability. This reflects modest forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow associated with the East Asian monsoon trough. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin averages around 30–32 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against potential diurnal heating under clearer skies or localized rainfall that could cap highs near 31 °C. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction ensembles from models such as ECMWF and GFS currently show Chengdu maximum temperatures on August 30 clustering near 31–33 °C, driving the tight market spread where 32 °C leads at 22.5 % implied probability. This reflects modest forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow associated with the East Asian monsoon trough. Historical late-August climatology for the Sichuan Basin averages around 30–32 °C, so traders weigh model consensus against potential diurnal heating under clearer skies or localized rainfall that could cap highs near 31 °C. Upcoming 48-hour model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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