Recent model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and international forecasts points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds. Persistent southerly flow, typical of late winter, has kept daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms after cooler conditions on August 29. This atmospheric setup limits rapid warming and supports the market’s emphasis on 17°C as the leading outcome, with 18°C and 16°C as close contenders. Updated SAWS briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
17°C 44%
18°C 25%
16°C 22%
15°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
22%
17°C
44%
18°C
25%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 44%
18°C 25%
16°C 22%
15°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$51 ปริมาณ
3%
15°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
16°C
$36 ปริมาณ
22%
17°C
$561 ปริมาณ
44%
18°C
$43 ปริมาณ
25%
19°C
$24 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and international forecasts points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds. Persistent southerly flow, typical of late winter, has kept daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms after cooler conditions on August 29. This atmospheric setup limits rapid warming and supports the market’s emphasis on 17°C as the leading outcome, with 18°C and 16°C as close contenders. Updated SAWS briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$731วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and international forecasts points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds. Persistent southerly flow, typical of late winter, has kept daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms after cooler conditions on August 29. This atmospheric setup limits rapid warming and supports the market’s emphasis on 17°C as the leading outcome, with 18°C and 16°C as close contenders. Updated SAWS briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$731วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and international forecasts points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-easterly winds. Persistent southerly flow, typical of late winter, has kept daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms after cooler conditions on August 29. This atmospheric setup limits rapid warming and supports the market’s emphasis on 17°C as the leading outcome, with 18°C and 16°C as close contenders. Updated SAWS briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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