Enhanced southwest monsoon activity across Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's August 30 high temperature probabilities clustered around 29–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate thunderstorms are expected to limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, holding daytime maxima near or slightly below the 31°C August climatological average. Official guidance from PAGASA and global models shows consensus on 27–30°C outcomes, with heavier rainfall episodes potentially capping readings at the lower end of that range while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. The market's tight spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 30?
30°C 26%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
32°C 19%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
19%
30°C
26%
31°C
24%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 26%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
32°C 19%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
19%
30°C
26%
31°C
24%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced southwest monsoon activity across Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's August 30 high temperature probabilities clustered around 29–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate thunderstorms are expected to limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, holding daytime maxima near or slightly below the 31°C August climatological average. Official guidance from PAGASA and global models shows consensus on 27–30°C outcomes, with heavier rainfall episodes potentially capping readings at the lower end of that range while clearer intervals could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. The market's tight spread between 30°C and 31°C reflects this narrow uncertainty window ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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