Trader consensus positions 22°C as the leading outcome for Qingdao's lowest temperature on August 28 because recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight minima dipping to that level amid a shift from subtropical high pressure dominance. Persistent warm, humid air masses have kept recent lows elevated near 26°C, above the long-term August average of 22°C, but incoming northerly winds and model consensus now support modest cooling by dawn. Uncertainty in exact station measurements and minor model spreads sustain the 21°C secondary probability, while warmer thresholds remain negligible given current atmospheric steering patterns. Final official data releases will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
21°C 25%
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,136 ปริมาณ
$24,136 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
71%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 25%
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,136 ปริมาณ
$24,136 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
71%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 22°C as the leading outcome for Qingdao's lowest temperature on August 28 because recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight minima dipping to that level amid a shift from subtropical high pressure dominance. Persistent warm, humid air masses have kept recent lows elevated near 26°C, above the long-term August average of 22°C, but incoming northerly winds and model consensus now support modest cooling by dawn. Uncertainty in exact station measurements and minor model spreads sustain the 21°C secondary probability, while warmer thresholds remain negligible given current atmospheric steering patterns. Final official data releases will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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