Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a partly cloudy Thursday with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s°F for San Francisco, driven by persistent marine layer influence and onshore westerly winds that moderate coastal temperatures despite a broader Bay Area warmup. Trader consensus centers on the 72-73°F bin at 32.5% as the most probable outcome, aligning closely with climatological averages near 70°F and recent daily maxima of 67-71°F. The broad distribution across 70-77°F bins reflects uncertainty in fog clearance timing, cloud cover, and localized wind patterns that can shift peak readings by several degrees. Lower-probability tails below 68°F or above 78°F capture scenarios of stronger marine stratus or unexpected offshore flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 22%
76-77°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 22%
76-77°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
65°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
68-69°F
$1,303 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$42 ปริมาณ
22%
72-73°F
$7 ปริมาณ
32%
74-75°F
$21 ปริมาณ
22%
76-77°F
$58 ปริมาณ
13%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
84°F or higher
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a partly cloudy Thursday with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s°F for San Francisco, driven by persistent marine layer influence and onshore westerly winds that moderate coastal temperatures despite a broader Bay Area warmup. Trader consensus centers on the 72-73°F bin at 32.5% as the most probable outcome, aligning closely with climatological averages near 70°F and recent daily maxima of 67-71°F. The broad distribution across 70-77°F bins reflects uncertainty in fog clearance timing, cloud cover, and localized wind patterns that can shift peak readings by several degrees. Lower-probability tails below 68°F or above 78°F capture scenarios of stronger marine stratus or unexpected offshore flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,465วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a partly cloudy Thursday with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s°F for San Francisco, driven by persistent marine layer influence and onshore westerly winds that moderate coastal temperatures despite a broader Bay Area warmup. Trader consensus centers on the 72-73°F bin at 32.5% as the most probable outcome, aligning closely with climatological averages near 70°F and recent daily maxima of 67-71°F. The broad distribution across 70-77°F bins reflects uncertainty in fog clearance timing, cloud cover, and localized wind patterns that can shift peak readings by several degrees. Lower-probability tails below 68°F or above 78°F capture scenarios of stronger marine stratus or unexpected offshore flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,465วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a partly cloudy Thursday with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s°F for San Francisco, driven by persistent marine layer influence and onshore westerly winds that moderate coastal temperatures despite a broader Bay Area warmup. Trader consensus centers on the 72-73°F bin at 32.5% as the most probable outcome, aligning closely with climatological averages near 70°F and recent daily maxima of 67-71°F. The broad distribution across 70-77°F bins reflects uncertainty in fog clearance timing, cloud cover, and localized wind patterns that can shift peak readings by several degrees. Lower-probability tails below 68°F or above 78°F capture scenarios of stronger marine stratus or unexpected offshore flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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