**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance positions the overnight low for Seattle on August 27 in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, centering market-implied odds on the 58-59°F bin (50.0%) followed by 56-57°F (38.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light southwesterly winds shifting lighter after midnight, will support moderate radiational cooling under the lingering marine layer. This setup typically produces lows near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 55.9°F for the date, especially after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s that limit extreme surface cooling. Ensemble and deterministic model runs show limited spread around 56–59°F, with the highest-probability range aligning directly with the current leading outcomes; only a notable increase in cloud cover or a stronger onshore flow would push the low into the lower 50s, while warmer advection remains unlikely given the stable pattern. Updated NWS zone forecasts and hourly guidance released on August 25–26 continue to reinforce this range, anchoring trader consensus ahead of the overnight period when the daily minimum is typically observed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seattle on August 27?
58-59°F 49%
51°F or below 44%
56-57°F 34%
60-61°F 34%
51°F or below
44%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
6%
70°F or higher
8%
58-59°F 49%
51°F or below 44%
56-57°F 34%
60-61°F 34%
51°F or below
44%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
6%
70°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance positions the overnight low for Seattle on August 27 in the mid-to-upper 50s°F, centering market-implied odds on the 58-59°F bin (50.0%) followed by 56-57°F (38.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, combined with light southwesterly winds shifting lighter after midnight, will support moderate radiational cooling under the lingering marine layer. This setup typically produces lows near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 55.9°F for the date, especially after daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s that limit extreme surface cooling. Ensemble and deterministic model runs show limited spread around 56–59°F, with the highest-probability range aligning directly with the current leading outcomes; only a notable increase in cloud cover or a stronger onshore flow would push the low into the lower 50s, while warmer advection remains unlikely given the stable pattern. Updated NWS zone forecasts and hourly guidance released on August 25–26 continue to reinforce this range, anchoring trader consensus ahead of the overnight period when the daily minimum is typically observed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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