Recent model consensus and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high near 24–26 °C on August 27, with scattered clouds, light northeasterly flow, and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while still pricing a non-negligible chance for 26 °C. Historical August maxima in the Valley of Mexico average around 25 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and early-morning surface observations tomorrow will be the next key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
26°C 20%
23°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
29%
26°C
20%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
26°C 20%
23°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
24°C
$25 ปริมาณ
37%
25°C
$12 ปริมาณ
29%
26°C
$12 ปริมาณ
20%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high near 24–26 °C on August 27, with scattered clouds, light northeasterly flow, and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while still pricing a non-negligible chance for 26 °C. Historical August maxima in the Valley of Mexico average around 25 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and early-morning surface observations tomorrow will be the next key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high near 24–26 °C on August 27, with scattered clouds, light northeasterly flow, and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while still pricing a non-negligible chance for 26 °C. Historical August maxima in the Valley of Mexico average around 25 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and early-morning surface observations tomorrow will be the next key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high near 24–26 °C on August 27, with scattered clouds, light northeasterly flow, and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while still pricing a non-negligible chance for 26 °C. Historical August maxima in the Valley of Mexico average around 25 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and early-morning surface observations tomorrow will be the next key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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