Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies indicate a high-pressure ridge with sunny skies and light southwest winds will drive daytime heating in Seattle on August 25, favoring a peak near 84–86°F at Sea-Tac. This setup, following clear conditions on the 24th, supports modest warming above seasonal normals without significant marine influence or cloud cover to limit insolation. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around the mid-80s, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and any lingering smoke aerosols from regional fires introduce minor uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders have priced 84–85°F as the modal outcome at 37% implied probability, with 82–83°F close behind, reflecting consensus on these thermal and radiative factors ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 32%
86-87°F 14%
80-81°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 32%
86-87°F 14%
80-81°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$221 ปริมาณ
1%
78-79°F
$313 ปริมาณ
3%
80-81°F
$681 ปริมาณ
8%
82-83°F
$302 ปริมาณ
32%
84-85°F
$606 ปริมาณ
37%
86-87°F
$455 ปริมาณ
14%
88-89°F
$218 ปริมาณ
5%
90-91°F
$94 ปริมาณ
2%
92-93°F
$177 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$312 ปริมาณ
<1%
96°F or higher
$324 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies indicate a high-pressure ridge with sunny skies and light southwest winds will drive daytime heating in Seattle on August 25, favoring a peak near 84–86°F at Sea-Tac. This setup, following clear conditions on the 24th, supports modest warming above seasonal normals without significant marine influence or cloud cover to limit insolation. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around the mid-80s, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and any lingering smoke aerosols from regional fires introduce minor uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders have priced 84–85°F as the modal outcome at 37% implied probability, with 82–83°F close behind, reflecting consensus on these thermal and radiative factors ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,696วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies indicate a high-pressure ridge with sunny skies and light southwest winds will drive daytime heating in Seattle on August 25, favoring a peak near 84–86°F at Sea-Tac. This setup, following clear conditions on the 24th, supports modest warming above seasonal normals without significant marine influence or cloud cover to limit insolation. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around the mid-80s, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and any lingering smoke aerosols from regional fires introduce minor uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders have priced 84–85°F as the modal outcome at 37% implied probability, with 82–83°F close behind, reflecting consensus on these thermal and radiative factors ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,696วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting agencies indicate a high-pressure ridge with sunny skies and light southwest winds will drive daytime heating in Seattle on August 25, favoring a peak near 84–86°F at Sea-Tac. This setup, following clear conditions on the 24th, supports modest warming above seasonal normals without significant marine influence or cloud cover to limit insolation. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around the mid-80s, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing and any lingering smoke aerosols from regional fires introduce minor uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders have priced 84–85°F as the modal outcome at 37% implied probability, with 82–83°F close behind, reflecting consensus on these thermal and radiative factors ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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