**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 28, 2026, project a daytime maximum of approximately 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and hot conditions, driven by a broad low-pressure trough and southwest monsoon flow.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading 32°C outcome (57.5% implied probability), as the pattern favors modest daytime heating despite high humidity (70–95%) and rain chances that limit full insolation. Recent heavy rainfall on August 27 eased overnight, reducing cloud cover enough for temperatures to climb from morning lows near 28°C toward the afternoon peak, consistent with regional station readings reaching 31–33°C by midday. The secondary 31°C probability (35%) reflects residual uncertainty from lingering showers or thicker cloud that could suppress the high by 1°C, while the smaller 33°C share (10%) accounts for localized heating if sunshine persists longer than expected. Historical August climatology supports peaks near 31–32°C under similar unsettled regimes, and the current forecast consensus from HKO and supporting models shows no strong signals for extremes outside this narrow band as of the latest updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
31°C 52%
32°C 43%
33°C 7%
34°C <1%
$64,580 ปริมาณ
$64,580 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
52%
32°C
43%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 43%
33°C 7%
34°C <1%
$64,580 ปริมาณ
$64,580 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
25°C or below
$214 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$274 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,364 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$10,238 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$19,048 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$9,838 ปริมาณ
52%
32°C
$9,366 ปริมาณ
43%
33°C
$7,720 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C
$3,964 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,343 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 28, 2026, project a daytime maximum of approximately 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and hot conditions, driven by a broad low-pressure trough and southwest monsoon flow.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading 32°C outcome (57.5% implied probability), as the pattern favors modest daytime heating despite high humidity (70–95%) and rain chances that limit full insolation. Recent heavy rainfall on August 27 eased overnight, reducing cloud cover enough for temperatures to climb from morning lows near 28°C toward the afternoon peak, consistent with regional station readings reaching 31–33°C by midday.
The secondary 31°C probability (35%) reflects residual uncertainty from lingering showers or thicker cloud that could suppress the high by 1°C, while the smaller 33°C share (10%) accounts for localized heating if sunshine persists longer than expected. Historical August climatology supports peaks near 31–32°C under similar unsettled regimes, and the current forecast consensus from HKO and supporting models shows no strong signals for extremes outside this narrow band as of the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,580วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 28, 2026, project a daytime maximum of approximately 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and hot conditions, driven by a broad low-pressure trough and southwest monsoon flow.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading 32°C outcome (57.5% implied probability), as the pattern favors modest daytime heating despite high humidity (70–95%) and rain chances that limit full insolation. Recent heavy rainfall on August 27 eased overnight, reducing cloud cover enough for temperatures to climb from morning lows near 28°C toward the afternoon peak, consistent with regional station readings reaching 31–33°C by midday.
The secondary 31°C probability (35%) reflects residual uncertainty from lingering showers or thicker cloud that could suppress the high by 1°C, while the smaller 33°C share (10%) accounts for localized heating if sunshine persists longer than expected. Historical August climatology supports peaks near 31–32°C under similar unsettled regimes, and the current forecast consensus from HKO and supporting models shows no strong signals for extremes outside this narrow band as of the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,580วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 28, 2026, project a daytime maximum of approximately 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and hot conditions, driven by a broad low-pressure trough and southwest monsoon flow.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading 32°C outcome (57.5% implied probability), as the pattern favors modest daytime heating despite high humidity (70–95%) and rain chances that limit full insolation. Recent heavy rainfall on August 27 eased overnight, reducing cloud cover enough for temperatures to climb from morning lows near 28°C toward the afternoon peak, consistent with regional station readings reaching 31–33°C by midday. The secondary 31°C probability (35%) reflects residual uncertainty from lingering showers or thicker cloud that could suppress the high by 1°C, while the smaller 33°C share (10%) accounts for localized heating if sunshine persists longer than expected. Historical August climatology supports peaks near 31–32°C under similar unsettled regimes, and the current forecast consensus from HKO and supporting models shows no strong signals for extremes outside this narrow band as of the latest updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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