**Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy producing mostly clear skies and light winds for Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32 °C.** Minimum temperatures are expected to occur around dawn, with current guidance centering on 19–22 °C depending on exact boundary-layer moisture and residual cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 16–19 °C, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 17–18 °C, but the current warm air mass and lack of synoptic cooling keep probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes low while capping upside above 23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations in the final hours before midnight will be the key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
15°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 48%
23°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
14%
15°C
50%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
29%
19°C
25%
20°C
50%
21°C
48%
22°C
1%
23°C
48%
24°C or higher
16%
15°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 48%
23°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
22°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
48%
24°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy producing mostly clear skies and light winds for Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32 °C.** Minimum temperatures are expected to occur around dawn, with current guidance centering on 19–22 °C depending on exact boundary-layer moisture and residual cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 16–19 °C, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 17–18 °C, but the current warm air mass and lack of synoptic cooling keep probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes low while capping upside above 23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations in the final hours before midnight will be the key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy producing mostly clear skies and light winds for Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32 °C.** Minimum temperatures are expected to occur around dawn, with current guidance centering on 19–22 °C depending on exact boundary-layer moisture and residual cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 16–19 °C, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 17–18 °C, but the current warm air mass and lack of synoptic cooling keep probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes low while capping upside above 23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations in the final hours before midnight will be the key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS show a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy producing mostly clear skies and light winds for Milan on August 30, supporting moderate overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–32 °C.** Minimum temperatures are expected to occur around dawn, with current guidance centering on 19–22 °C depending on exact boundary-layer moisture and residual cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 16–19 °C, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind speed can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima average near 17–18 °C, but the current warm air mass and lack of synoptic cooling keep probabilities for sub-15 °C outcomes low while capping upside above 23 °C. Updated model cycles and local observations in the final hours before midnight will be the key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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