Forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA currently project a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on August 29, driving the dominant 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter synoptic patterns feature a moderate southerly flow with limited cloud cover and weak high pressure building overnight, supporting daytime highs in the 14–16°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15°C, with minor spread toward 16°C if afternoon mixing strengthens or 14°C if marine air lingers. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 15–16°C bracket. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and cloud timing ahead of the market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
15°C 69%
16°C 17%
14°C 13%
17°C 4%
ใหม่
$26,753 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$26,753 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
13%
15°C
69%
16°C
17%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 69%
16°C 17%
14°C 13%
17°C 4%
ใหม่
$26,753 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$26,753 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$900 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$2,860 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$345 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$1,050 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$426 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$5,894 ปริมาณ
13%
15°C
$4,866 ปริมาณ
69%
16°C
$3,726 ปริมาณ
17%
17°C
$3,103 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$3,386 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA currently project a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on August 29, driving the dominant 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter synoptic patterns feature a moderate southerly flow with limited cloud cover and weak high pressure building overnight, supporting daytime highs in the 14–16°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15°C, with minor spread toward 16°C if afternoon mixing strengthens or 14°C if marine air lingers. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 15–16°C bracket. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and cloud timing ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,753วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA currently project a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on August 29, driving the dominant 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter synoptic patterns feature a moderate southerly flow with limited cloud cover and weak high pressure building overnight, supporting daytime highs in the 14–16°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15°C, with minor spread toward 16°C if afternoon mixing strengthens or 14°C if marine air lingers. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 15–16°C bracket. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and cloud timing ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,753วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA currently project a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on August 29, driving the dominant 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter synoptic patterns feature a moderate southerly flow with limited cloud cover and weak high pressure building overnight, supporting daytime highs in the 14–16°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15°C, with minor spread toward 16°C if afternoon mixing strengthens or 14°C if marine air lingers. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 15–16°C bracket. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and cloud timing ahead of the market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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