Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 28 point to a daytime maximum of 24°C under an unsettled regime, with morning sunny spells giving way to showers from midday and moderate southwesterly winds. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where Atlantic airflow and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near seasonal averages rather than permitting stronger diurnal heating. Model consensus and early observations showing overnight lows around 15–17°C and gradual daytime rises reinforce trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Lingering uncertainty over shower timing and intensity supports the secondary 25°C-or-higher share at 36%, while lower outcomes remain marginal given current guidance. Updated agency briefings through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 28?
Highest temperature in London on August 28?
24°C 55%
25°C or higher 36%
23°C 12%
22°C 1.0%
$35,450 ปริมาณ
$35,450 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
55%
25°C or higher
36%
24°C 55%
25°C or higher 36%
23°C 12%
22°C 1.0%
$35,450 ปริมาณ
$35,450 ปริมาณ
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
$289 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$215 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$205 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$990 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,243 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,224 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$2,654 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$5,398 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$7,232 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$7,279 ปริมาณ
55%
25°C or higher
$7,838 ปริมาณ
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 28 point to a daytime maximum of 24°C under an unsettled regime, with morning sunny spells giving way to showers from midday and moderate southwesterly winds. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where Atlantic airflow and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near seasonal averages rather than permitting stronger diurnal heating. Model consensus and early observations showing overnight lows around 15–17°C and gradual daytime rises reinforce trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Lingering uncertainty over shower timing and intensity supports the secondary 25°C-or-higher share at 36%, while lower outcomes remain marginal given current guidance. Updated agency briefings through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,450วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 28 point to a daytime maximum of 24°C under an unsettled regime, with morning sunny spells giving way to showers from midday and moderate southwesterly winds. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where Atlantic airflow and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near seasonal averages rather than permitting stronger diurnal heating. Model consensus and early observations showing overnight lows around 15–17°C and gradual daytime rises reinforce trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Lingering uncertainty over shower timing and intensity supports the secondary 25°C-or-higher share at 36%, while lower outcomes remain marginal given current guidance. Updated agency briefings through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,450วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 28 point to a daytime maximum of 24°C under an unsettled regime, with morning sunny spells giving way to showers from midday and moderate southwesterly winds. These conditions align with late-August climatology, where Atlantic airflow and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near seasonal averages rather than permitting stronger diurnal heating. Model consensus and early observations showing overnight lows around 15–17°C and gradual daytime rises reinforce trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Lingering uncertainty over shower timing and intensity supports the secondary 25°C-or-higher share at 36%, while lower outcomes remain marginal given current guidance. Updated agency briefings through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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