Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C for London's August 30 maximum reflects tight agreement in short-range forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles, with only marginal differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. A building high-pressure ridge favors modest southerly flow and clear conditions that support surface warming near seasonal norms, yet subtle variations in Atlantic frontal approach or diurnal heating rates could shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting upside beyond 24°C, while recent model runs show consistent overnight minima that anchor daytime recovery.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 30?
Highest temperature in London on August 30?
23°C 39%
22°C 36%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
36%
23°C
39%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 36%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$330 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$122 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$335 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$287 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$363 ปริมาณ
9%
22°C
$533 ปริมาณ
36%
23°C
$923 ปริมาณ
39%
24°C
$381 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$164 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$206 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$341 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C for London's August 30 maximum reflects tight agreement in short-range forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles, with only marginal differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. A building high-pressure ridge favors modest southerly flow and clear conditions that support surface warming near seasonal norms, yet subtle variations in Atlantic frontal approach or diurnal heating rates could shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting upside beyond 24°C, while recent model runs show consistent overnight minima that anchor daytime recovery.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,985วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C for London's August 30 maximum reflects tight agreement in short-range forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles, with only marginal differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. A building high-pressure ridge favors modest southerly flow and clear conditions that support surface warming near seasonal norms, yet subtle variations in Atlantic frontal approach or diurnal heating rates could shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting upside beyond 24°C, while recent model runs show consistent overnight minima that anchor daytime recovery.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,985วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C for London's August 30 maximum reflects tight agreement in short-range forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles, with only marginal differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing. A building high-pressure ridge favors modest southerly flow and clear conditions that support surface warming near seasonal norms, yet subtle variations in Atlantic frontal approach or diurnal heating rates could shift the peak by 1°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, limiting upside beyond 24°C, while recent model runs show consistent overnight minima that anchor daytime recovery.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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