**El Niño conditions currently strengthening across the equatorial Pacific are the dominant factor elevating minimum temperatures in Panama City, with official outlooks from IMHPA projecting 2–3 °C above-normal warmth through August–October 2026.** This aligns with trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 30 °C or higher (40.5 % implied probability) or 26 °C (36.5 %), as the phenomenon suppresses rainfall while enhancing heat retention under humid tropical conditions. Typical August lows near 24–25 °C provide historical context, yet persistent above-average sea-surface temperatures and reduced cloud cover during the rainy season increase the likelihood of elevated nighttime readings. Forecast uncertainty around exact cloud cover, convective timing, and localized steering patterns keeps several outcomes clustered near 25–27 °C, with new daily observations and model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
30°C or higher 83%
20°C or below 49%
26°C 35%
25°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
49%
21°C
7%
22°C
17%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
83%
30°C or higher 83%
20°C or below 49%
26°C 35%
25°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
$15 ปริมาณ
49%
21°C
$15 ปริมาณ
7%
22°C
$15 ปริมาณ
17%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**El Niño conditions currently strengthening across the equatorial Pacific are the dominant factor elevating minimum temperatures in Panama City, with official outlooks from IMHPA projecting 2–3 °C above-normal warmth through August–October 2026.** This aligns with trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 30 °C or higher (40.5 % implied probability) or 26 °C (36.5 %), as the phenomenon suppresses rainfall while enhancing heat retention under humid tropical conditions. Typical August lows near 24–25 °C provide historical context, yet persistent above-average sea-surface temperatures and reduced cloud cover during the rainy season increase the likelihood of elevated nighttime readings. Forecast uncertainty around exact cloud cover, convective timing, and localized steering patterns keeps several outcomes clustered near 25–27 °C, with new daily observations and model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**El Niño conditions currently strengthening across the equatorial Pacific are the dominant factor elevating minimum temperatures in Panama City, with official outlooks from IMHPA projecting 2–3 °C above-normal warmth through August–October 2026.** This aligns with trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 30 °C or higher (40.5 % implied probability) or 26 °C (36.5 %), as the phenomenon suppresses rainfall while enhancing heat retention under humid tropical conditions. Typical August lows near 24–25 °C provide historical context, yet persistent above-average sea-surface temperatures and reduced cloud cover during the rainy season increase the likelihood of elevated nighttime readings. Forecast uncertainty around exact cloud cover, convective timing, and localized steering patterns keeps several outcomes clustered near 25–27 °C, with new daily observations and model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**El Niño conditions currently strengthening across the equatorial Pacific are the dominant factor elevating minimum temperatures in Panama City, with official outlooks from IMHPA projecting 2–3 °C above-normal warmth through August–October 2026.** This aligns with trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 30 °C or higher (40.5 % implied probability) or 26 °C (36.5 %), as the phenomenon suppresses rainfall while enhancing heat retention under humid tropical conditions. Typical August lows near 24–25 °C provide historical context, yet persistent above-average sea-surface temperatures and reduced cloud cover during the rainy season increase the likelihood of elevated nighttime readings. Forecast uncertainty around exact cloud cover, convective timing, and localized steering patterns keeps several outcomes clustered near 25–27 °C, with new daily observations and model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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