Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate the overnight low for August 31 in New York City will likely settle in the 70–73°F range, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and persistent cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs show only modest northwest wind shifts by evening, with a 20–40% chance of showers that could further suppress temperature drops. This positions 70–71°F as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability, consistent with observed late-August minima trending 3–5°F above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~66°F under similar synoptic setups. Updated guidance on August 30–31 will refine exact thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 31?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 31?
70-71°F 42%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 21%
76-77°F 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
65°F or below
14%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
14%
84°F or higher
12%
70-71°F 42%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 21%
76-77°F 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
65°F or below
$6 ปริมาณ
14%
66-67°F
$40 ปริมาณ
4%
68-69°F
$48 ปริมาณ
16%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
72-73°F
$41 ปริมาณ
31%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
84°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate the overnight low for August 31 in New York City will likely settle in the 70–73°F range, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and persistent cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs show only modest northwest wind shifts by evening, with a 20–40% chance of showers that could further suppress temperature drops. This positions 70–71°F as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability, consistent with observed late-August minima trending 3–5°F above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~66°F under similar synoptic setups. Updated guidance on August 30–31 will refine exact thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$135วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate the overnight low for August 31 in New York City will likely settle in the 70–73°F range, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and persistent cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs show only modest northwest wind shifts by evening, with a 20–40% chance of showers that could further suppress temperature drops. This positions 70–71°F as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability, consistent with observed late-August minima trending 3–5°F above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~66°F under similar synoptic setups. Updated guidance on August 30–31 will refine exact thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$135วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate the overnight low for August 31 in New York City will likely settle in the 70–73°F range, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and persistent cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs show only modest northwest wind shifts by evening, with a 20–40% chance of showers that could further suppress temperature drops. This positions 70–71°F as the market leader at 41.5% implied probability, consistent with observed late-August minima trending 3–5°F above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~66°F under similar synoptic setups. Updated guidance on August 30–31 will refine exact thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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