Warm southwesterly flow and a persistent late-summer ridge have kept overnight temperatures elevated across the Chicago area, with current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts pointing to a minimum of roughly 75–80 °F on August 31. This pattern supports the market’s leading 84 °F-or-higher and 76–77 °F bins by limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points. Historical August 31 lows average near 64 °F, underscoring how anomalous the current airmass remains. Model consensus shows only modest spread through the overnight period, though any unexpected increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim a few degrees. Updated guidance from the National Weather Service Chicago office and the next model cycle are the key near-term catalysts likely to influence trader positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
65°F or below 82%
84°F or higher 77%
80-81°F 49%
82-83°F 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
65°F or below
82%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84°F or higher
77%
65°F or below 82%
84°F or higher 77%
80-81°F 49%
82-83°F 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
65°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
82%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
84°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm southwesterly flow and a persistent late-summer ridge have kept overnight temperatures elevated across the Chicago area, with current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts pointing to a minimum of roughly 75–80 °F on August 31. This pattern supports the market’s leading 84 °F-or-higher and 76–77 °F bins by limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points. Historical August 31 lows average near 64 °F, underscoring how anomalous the current airmass remains. Model consensus shows only modest spread through the overnight period, though any unexpected increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim a few degrees. Updated guidance from the National Weather Service Chicago office and the next model cycle are the key near-term catalysts likely to influence trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warm southwesterly flow and a persistent late-summer ridge have kept overnight temperatures elevated across the Chicago area, with current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts pointing to a minimum of roughly 75–80 °F on August 31. This pattern supports the market’s leading 84 °F-or-higher and 76–77 °F bins by limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points. Historical August 31 lows average near 64 °F, underscoring how anomalous the current airmass remains. Model consensus shows only modest spread through the overnight period, though any unexpected increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim a few degrees. Updated guidance from the National Weather Service Chicago office and the next model cycle are the key near-term catalysts likely to influence trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Warm southwesterly flow and a persistent late-summer ridge have kept overnight temperatures elevated across the Chicago area, with current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts pointing to a minimum of roughly 75–80 °F on August 31. This pattern supports the market’s leading 84 °F-or-higher and 76–77 °F bins by limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points. Historical August 31 lows average near 64 °F, underscoring how anomalous the current airmass remains. Model consensus shows only modest spread through the overnight period, though any unexpected increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim a few degrees. Updated guidance from the National Weather Service Chicago office and the next model cycle are the key near-term catalysts likely to influence trader positioning ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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