Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 29 points to a daily maximum in the upper 70s to low 80s, with ensemble spreads creating the tight market clustering around 78–83 °F. Key differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the strength of any onshore flow or weak frontal passage that could cap heating or enhance mixing. Late-August climatology shows a historical average high near 82 °F, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, reflecting modest uncertainty in insolation and wind patterns. Traders are weighting the most probable range where forecast confidence is highest while discounting outliers beyond 84 °F that would require stronger high-pressure building or clearer skies than currently indicated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 29?
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 17%
76-77°F 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
5%
88°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 17%
76-77°F 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
69°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
76-77°F
$6 ปริมาณ
15%
78-79°F
$70 ปริมาณ
28%
80-81°F
$252 ปริมาณ
28%
82-83°F
$39 ปริมาณ
17%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
88°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 29 points to a daily maximum in the upper 70s to low 80s, with ensemble spreads creating the tight market clustering around 78–83 °F. Key differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the strength of any onshore flow or weak frontal passage that could cap heating or enhance mixing. Late-August climatology shows a historical average high near 82 °F, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, reflecting modest uncertainty in insolation and wind patterns. Traders are weighting the most probable range where forecast confidence is highest while discounting outliers beyond 84 °F that would require stronger high-pressure building or clearer skies than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$367วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 29 points to a daily maximum in the upper 70s to low 80s, with ensemble spreads creating the tight market clustering around 78–83 °F. Key differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the strength of any onshore flow or weak frontal passage that could cap heating or enhance mixing. Late-August climatology shows a historical average high near 82 °F, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, reflecting modest uncertainty in insolation and wind patterns. Traders are weighting the most probable range where forecast confidence is highest while discounting outliers beyond 84 °F that would require stronger high-pressure building or clearer skies than currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$367วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 29 points to a daily maximum in the upper 70s to low 80s, with ensemble spreads creating the tight market clustering around 78–83 °F. Key differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the strength of any onshore flow or weak frontal passage that could cap heating or enhance mixing. Late-August climatology shows a historical average high near 82 °F, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, reflecting modest uncertainty in insolation and wind patterns. Traders are weighting the most probable range where forecast confidence is highest while discounting outliers beyond 84 °F that would require stronger high-pressure building or clearer skies than currently indicated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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