A weak cold front advancing through North Texas is the main driver moderating trader expectations for Dallas's August 27 high, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to mostly sunny conditions and a high near 101°F after today's 99–102°F readings. North to northeast winds of 5–10 mph and lower moisture advection behind the front are expected to limit peak heating despite abundant August sunshine and heat indices reaching 109°F. Recent model runs show tight consensus around the upper 90s to low 100s, with minimal precipitation risk supporting efficient diurnal warming but preventing extreme values seen earlier in the month. Traders appear to weigh this transitional pattern more heavily than climatological August averages near 96–98°F, concentrating implied probabilities on the 96–99°F range ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on August 27?
98-99°F 43%
96-97°F 33%
100-101°F 18%
94-95°F 6%
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
33%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 43%
96-97°F 33%
100-101°F 18%
94-95°F 6%
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
33%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...A weak cold front advancing through North Texas is the main driver moderating trader expectations for Dallas's August 27 high, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to mostly sunny conditions and a high near 101°F after today's 99–102°F readings. North to northeast winds of 5–10 mph and lower moisture advection behind the front are expected to limit peak heating despite abundant August sunshine and heat indices reaching 109°F. Recent model runs show tight consensus around the upper 90s to low 100s, with minimal precipitation risk supporting efficient diurnal warming but preventing extreme values seen earlier in the month. Traders appear to weigh this transitional pattern more heavily than climatological August averages near 96–98°F, concentrating implied probabilities on the 96–99°F range ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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