Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall in the upper 60s amid southerly winds of 5–15 mph and increasing cloud cover, which reduces radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. This setup, combined with a slight chance of showers after midnight, supports market-implied odds clustered around 64–67°F while leaving room for variance from local effects near Lake Michigan or minor model shifts in dew points and wind speed. Historical August minima average near 65°F, but the current warm advection pattern tempers potential for sharper drops below 62°F. Traders are monitoring updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for any last adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 29?
72-73°F 41%
64-65°F 34%
74°F or higher 32%
66-67°F 32%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
17%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
41%
74°F or higher
32%
72-73°F 41%
64-65°F 34%
74°F or higher 32%
66-67°F 32%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
$135 ปริมาณ
17%
56-57°F
$5 ปริมาณ
30%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
72-73°F
$5 ปริมาณ
41%
74°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall in the upper 60s amid southerly winds of 5–15 mph and increasing cloud cover, which reduces radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. This setup, combined with a slight chance of showers after midnight, supports market-implied odds clustered around 64–67°F while leaving room for variance from local effects near Lake Michigan or minor model shifts in dew points and wind speed. Historical August minima average near 65°F, but the current warm advection pattern tempers potential for sharper drops below 62°F. Traders are monitoring updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$150วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall in the upper 60s amid southerly winds of 5–15 mph and increasing cloud cover, which reduces radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. This setup, combined with a slight chance of showers after midnight, supports market-implied odds clustered around 64–67°F while leaving room for variance from local effects near Lake Michigan or minor model shifts in dew points and wind speed. Historical August minima average near 65°F, but the current warm advection pattern tempers potential for sharper drops below 62°F. Traders are monitoring updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$150วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts and ensemble models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall in the upper 60s amid southerly winds of 5–15 mph and increasing cloud cover, which reduces radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. This setup, combined with a slight chance of showers after midnight, supports market-implied odds clustered around 64–67°F while leaving room for variance from local effects near Lake Michigan or minor model shifts in dew points and wind speed. Historical August minima average near 65°F, but the current warm advection pattern tempers potential for sharper drops below 62°F. Traders are monitoring updated NWS briefings and high-resolution model runs for any last adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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