Recent northerly flow has cooled Istanbul after mid-August peaks near 30–32°C, with showers and stronger winds on August 28–29 suppressing daytime maxima. Model consensus and official guidance now point to clearing skies and moderate northerly winds on August 30, supporting recovery to 26–28°C under mostly sunny conditions. This places 26°C and 27°C as the market’s leading outcomes, reflecting typical late-August variability rather than anomalous heat. Historical baselines show August highs averaging near 27°C, with limited upside potential absent southerly advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated regional forecasts and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction remain the key near-term variables for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
26°C 48%
27°C 33%
25°C 28%
28°C 9%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
28%
26°C
48%
27°C
33%
28°C
9%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
4%
26°C 48%
27°C 33%
25°C 28%
28°C 9%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
28%
26°C
48%
27°C
33%
28°C
9%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly flow has cooled Istanbul after mid-August peaks near 30–32°C, with showers and stronger winds on August 28–29 suppressing daytime maxima. Model consensus and official guidance now point to clearing skies and moderate northerly winds on August 30, supporting recovery to 26–28°C under mostly sunny conditions. This places 26°C and 27°C as the market’s leading outcomes, reflecting typical late-August variability rather than anomalous heat. Historical baselines show August highs averaging near 27°C, with limited upside potential absent southerly advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated regional forecasts and any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction remain the key near-term variables for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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