Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models converge on a daytime high of 20–22°C for Moscow on August 30, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under variable cloud cover that limits solar heating while allowing isolated light showers. This pattern aligns with climatological late-August norms near 21°C and produces the tightest implied probabilities around 20°C (28.5%) and 21°C (27%), with modest upside risk to 23°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Model spreads in timing and intensity of any precipitation explain why 19°C and 22°C retain meaningful but lower shares, as traders weigh the narrow window before resolution against potential revisions in the next 48-hour updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
22°C 14%
19°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
29%
21°C
27%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
22°C 14%
19°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$51 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
23°C
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models converge on a daytime high of 20–22°C for Moscow on August 30, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under variable cloud cover that limits solar heating while allowing isolated light showers. This pattern aligns with climatological late-August norms near 21°C and produces the tightest implied probabilities around 20°C (28.5%) and 21°C (27%), with modest upside risk to 23°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Model spreads in timing and intensity of any precipitation explain why 19°C and 22°C retain meaningful but lower shares, as traders weigh the narrow window before resolution against potential revisions in the next 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models converge on a daytime high of 20–22°C for Moscow on August 30, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under variable cloud cover that limits solar heating while allowing isolated light showers. This pattern aligns with climatological late-August norms near 21°C and produces the tightest implied probabilities around 20°C (28.5%) and 21°C (27%), with modest upside risk to 23°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Model spreads in timing and intensity of any precipitation explain why 19°C and 22°C retain meaningful but lower shares, as traders weigh the narrow window before resolution against potential revisions in the next 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models converge on a daytime high of 20–22°C for Moscow on August 30, driven by southerly winds advecting milder air under variable cloud cover that limits solar heating while allowing isolated light showers. This pattern aligns with climatological late-August norms near 21°C and produces the tightest implied probabilities around 20°C (28.5%) and 21°C (27%), with modest upside risk to 23°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Model spreads in timing and intensity of any precipitation explain why 19°C and 22°C retain meaningful but lower shares, as traders weigh the narrow window before resolution against potential revisions in the next 48-hour updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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