Recent official forecasts and numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, converge on a daytime maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation. This places the 20°C and 21°C outcomes as market leaders at 48% and 32.5% implied probability. Late-summer climatology in the region features typical highs near 20–23°C before autumn cooling sets in, with current steering patterns and modest warm advection supporting readings clustered around these values rather than extremes. Updated model guidance and Russian meteorological briefings through August 28 have reinforced this narrow range, limiting shifts toward higher or lower bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
20°C 45%
21°C 35%
19°C 13%
22°C 6%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
13%
20°C
45%
21°C
35%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 45%
21°C 35%
19°C 13%
22°C 6%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
13%
20°C
45%
21°C
35%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, converge on a daytime maximum of 19–21°C in Moscow on August 29 under variable cloudiness, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation. This places the 20°C and 21°C outcomes as market leaders at 48% and 32.5% implied probability. Late-summer climatology in the region features typical highs near 20–23°C before autumn cooling sets in, with current steering patterns and modest warm advection supporting readings clustered around these values rather than extremes. Updated model guidance and Russian meteorological briefings through August 28 have reinforced this narrow range, limiting shifts toward higher or lower bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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