Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 29 will likely range 9–13°C under variable cloud cover and light variable winds, near the late-August climatological average of ~11°C. This positioning reflects typical seasonal cooling from radiative losses after sunset rather than any anomalous cold-air advection from the north. Market-implied odds favoring 3°C or below appear driven by uncertainty in ensemble spread and potential for localized clear-sky cooling under weak winds, though historical records show such extremes are rare this early in the season. Fresh model updates from ECMWF or GFS over the next 12–24 hours represent the key catalyst that could realign trader consensus with observed guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
3°C or below 87%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
87%
4°C
1%
5°C
45%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
23%
3°C or below 87%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
87%
4°C
$35 ปริมาณ
1%
5°C
$65 ปริมาณ
45%
6°C
$54 ปริมาณ
26%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 29 will likely range 9–13°C under variable cloud cover and light variable winds, near the late-August climatological average of ~11°C. This positioning reflects typical seasonal cooling from radiative losses after sunset rather than any anomalous cold-air advection from the north. Market-implied odds favoring 3°C or below appear driven by uncertainty in ensemble spread and potential for localized clear-sky cooling under weak winds, though historical records show such extremes are rare this early in the season. Fresh model updates from ECMWF or GFS over the next 12–24 hours represent the key catalyst that could realign trader consensus with observed guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$164วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 29 will likely range 9–13°C under variable cloud cover and light variable winds, near the late-August climatological average of ~11°C. This positioning reflects typical seasonal cooling from radiative losses after sunset rather than any anomalous cold-air advection from the north. Market-implied odds favoring 3°C or below appear driven by uncertainty in ensemble spread and potential for localized clear-sky cooling under weak winds, though historical records show such extremes are rare this early in the season. Fresh model updates from ECMWF or GFS over the next 12–24 hours represent the key catalyst that could realign trader consensus with observed guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$164วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 29 will likely range 9–13°C under variable cloud cover and light variable winds, near the late-August climatological average of ~11°C. This positioning reflects typical seasonal cooling from radiative losses after sunset rather than any anomalous cold-air advection from the north. Market-implied odds favoring 3°C or below appear driven by uncertainty in ensemble spread and potential for localized clear-sky cooling under weak winds, though historical records show such extremes are rare this early in the season. Fresh model updates from ECMWF or GFS over the next 12–24 hours represent the key catalyst that could realign trader consensus with observed guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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